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Thursday, September 13, 2012

Third time's the charm is what Fed is hoping

CNBC's Steve Liesman joins Andrea Mitchell Reports to recap the Fed meeting.

By John W. Schoen, NBC News

Acknowledging that the U.S. economy is not improving fast enough, the Federal Reserve Thursday opened the money spigots for the third time since the financial collapse of 2008.

This time around, the central bank targeted mortgage bonds in an effort to drive mortgage rates, already at historical lows, even lower. The open-ended promise to buy those bonds, at a pace of $40 billion a month, will drive the Fed?s holdings of securities past the $3 trillion mark.

The move, known as "quantitative easing," was widely expected. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke signaled the plan to move ahead with what has been dubbed QE3 in a widely-watched speech last month, when he noted that U.S. unemployment remains stuck at stubbornly high levels.

Though financial markets responded enthusiastically to the Fed's announcement, some economists expressed doubts that this latest round of bond-buying will have any more impact than the prior two rounds.

?Try as it might, the Fed cannot prompt the economy to do much more under these circumstances,? said Bernard Baumohl, chief global economist at The?Economic Outlook?Group.

Nearly five years after one of the worst recessions in decades, the pace of economic growth and job creation is badly lagging prior recoveries. The U.S. economic woes are being compounded as Europe slides deeper into recession and the once-robust Chinese economy slows.

To add more weight to its latest policy move, the Fed promised to keep interest rates at "exceptionally low"?until at least mid-2015, rather than late 2014 as previously promised.

"If the outlook for the labor market does not improve substantially, the Committee will continue its purchases of agency mortgage-backed securities, undertake additional?asset?purchases, and employ its other policy tools as appropriate until such improvement is achieved in a context of price stability," the Fed?said in a statement.

Buoyed by expectations that the easy-money policy was in the works, investors have bid up stock prices in the past few months in anticipation of the move. Major market indexes surged about 1 percent on the official announcement.

?Investors see QE3, they see successful can-kicking in Europe and are convinced that a lame duck Congress will save the day and extend the tax cuts that expire at year-end," said David Rosenberg, chief economist at Gluskin Sheff.

Central bankers are hoping that concentrating on lower mortgage rates will help accelerate a tepid recovery in the housing market, which historically helps lead the economy out of recession.

But potential home buyers face bigger hurdles than low rates, especially the nearly one in four owners who owe more on their mortgage than their home is worth.

?The problems of limited equity, tight lending standards and appraisal problems are still out there limiting the Fed?s effectiveness,? said Joel Naroff, chief economist at Naroff Economic Advisors. ?At least the Fed members can say they are trying. That is more than what we can say about Congress.?

Despite repeated calls by Bernanke for help from Capitol Hill, the Fed is powerless to head off the looming impact of the "fiscal cliff" if congress fails to act on its budget impasse.

Unless the current stalemate can be broken, ruinous tax increases and spending cuts are set to kick in by year-end. Economists, including researchers at the Congressional Budget Office, have warned the combined impact of the fiscal moves will almost certainly drive the U.S. economy into a nasty recession.

The Fed is hoping that cheaper money will encourage companies and households to borrow and spend more, boosting demand and prompting employers to create more jobs.

But worries that Congress may not avert the ?fiscal cliff? in time are weighing on consumer and business confidence, prompting them to cut back, according to Russell Goldsmith, CEO of City National Bank in Los Angeles.

?That's why our deposits are up enormously,? he said. ?People are saying, ?I?m sitting on the sidelines. I want to know what the tax rates are going to be.??

?There's a risk that these guys will not solve it, and then you drive this weak GDP growth right below zero. So people want to say, ?Hey, I'll wait and see. So it's self-fulfilling. That slows down the economy and that hurts hiring.?

Source: http://economywatch.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/09/13/13846702-fed-aims-at-housing-market-in-bid-to-revive-faltering-recovery?lite

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Music mogul Clive Davis to release autobiography

FILE - This March 24, 2012 file photo shows music mogul Clive Davis attending Aretha Franklin's seventieth birthday party in New York. Davis will release an autobiography in February that will include ?the excitements, the disappointments and the triumphs? of his career. The untitled book will be released through Simon & Schuster and will be written with music journalist Anthony DeCurtis. A news release says it will include ?never-before-heard tales? about Davis' work with acts like Whitney Houston, John Lennon, Bruce Springsteen, Janis Joplin and Bob Dylan. Davis has helped the careers of many top musicians from Aretha Franklin to Billy Joel to Alicia Keys. The Harvard Law School graduate founded both Arista and J Records. He's currently the COO of Sony Music and is working on Franklin's new album and Houston's forthcoming greatest hits set. (AP Photo/Charles Sykes, file)

NEW YORK (AP) ? Music mogul Clive Davis will release an autobiography in February that will include "the excitements, the disappointments and the triumphs" of his career.

The untitled book will be released through Simon & Schuster and will be written with music journalist Anthony DeCurtis. A news release says it will include "never-before-heard tales" about Davis' work with acts like Whitney Houston, John Lennon, Bruce Springsteen, Janis Joplin and Bob Dylan.

Davis has helped the careers of many top musicians from Aretha Franklin to Billy Joel to Alicia Keys. The Harvard Law School graduate founded both Arista and J Records. He's currently the COO of Sony Music and is working on Franklin's new album and Houston's forthcoming greatest hits set.

The 80-year-old released his first book, "Clive: Inside The Record Business," in 1975.

Associated Press

Source: http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/4e67281c3f754d0696fbfdee0f3f1469/Article_2012-09-12-Books-Clive%20Davis/id-5b5725ab0aad4cd0af17ea29f77359e2

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Wednesday, September 12, 2012

Reining in red meat consumption cuts chronic disease risk and carbon footprint

ScienceDaily (Sep. 10, 2012) ? Reducing red and processed meat consumption would not only prompt a fall in chronic disease incidence of between 3 and 12 per cent in the UK, but our carbon footprint would shrink by 28 million tonnes a year, suggests research published in the online only journal BMJ Open.

Food and drink account for a third of all greenhouse gas emissions attributable to UK consumers, with livestock farming accounting for around half of this proportion, owing to the large quantity of cereals and soy imported for animal feed.

Even when imported foods are taken out of the equation, the government's 2050 target for an 80% cut in the UK's carbon footprint will be "unattainable" without a substantial reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from livestock farming, say the authors, citing the Committee on Climate Change.

Previously published evidence shows that the risks of coronary heart disease, type 2 diabetes, and bowel cancer rise by 42%, 19%, and 18% respectively, with every additional 50 g of red and processed meat eaten daily.

The authors used responses to the 2000-2001 British National Diet and Nutrition Survey to estimate red and processed meat intake across the UK population and published data from life cycle analyses to quantify average greenhouse gas emissions for 45 different food categories.

They then devised a feasible "counterfactual" alternative, based on a doubling of the proportion of survey respondents who said they were vegetarian -- to 4.7% of men and 12.3% of women -- and the remainder adopting the same diet as those in the bottom fifth of red and processed meat consumption.

Those in the top fifth of consumption ate 2.5 times as much as those in the bottom fifth, the survey responses showed.

Therefore, adopting the diet of those eating the least red and processed meat would mean cutting average consumption from 91 to 53 g a day for men and from 54 to 30 g for women.

The calculations showed that this would significantly cut the risk of coronary artery disease, diabetes, and bowel cancer by between 3 and 12 per cent across the population as a whole.

And this reduction in risk would be more than twice as much as the population averages for those at the top end of consumption who moved to the bottom end.

Furthermore, the expected reduction in greenhouse gas emissions would amount to 0.45 tonnes per person per year, or just short of 28 million tonnes of the equivalent of CO₂ a year.

The authors acknowledge that their data are a decade old, but the most recent nutrition survey (2008/9) indicates broadly similar and even slightly higher figures for red and processed meat consumption.

"This indicates that our estimates remain relevant and may even be conservative, highlighting the need for action to prevent further increases in intake in the UK population," they suggest.

And while it may be harder for people to understand the direct impact that climate change has on them, it is much easier to understand the impact on their health, they say.

"Health benefits provide near term rewards to individuals for climate friendly changes and may thus 'nudge' humanity towards a sustainable future," suggest the authors. "Dietary recommendations should no longer be based on direct health effects alone."

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The above story is reprinted from materials provided by BMJ-British Medical Journal.

Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.

Journal Reference:

L. M. Aston, J. N. Smith, J. W. Powles. Impact of a reduced red and processed meat dietary pattern on disease risks and greenhouse gas emissions in the UK: a modelling study. BMJ Open, 2012; 2 (5): e001072 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2012-001072

Note: If no author is given, the source is cited instead.

Disclaimer: This article is not intended to provide medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. Views expressed here do not necessarily reflect those of ScienceDaily or its staff.

Source: http://feeds.sciencedaily.com/~r/sciencedaily/health_medicine/nutrition/~3/Zm-MNujGdeY/120911091658.htm

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Kindle Fire HD review: Improved, but not evolved

1 hr.

Wilson Rothman

When you handle the new 7-inch Kindle Fire HD, you feel as if Amazon's engineers went through a checklist and nuked all of the complaints of the original Fire in an orderly fashion. Battery life not great? It's 11 hours now. Power button too easy to bump by accident? Fixed. No physical volume button? Now there is. Screen not so easy on the eyes? Noticeably improved.

But if many of the hardware complaints are resolved, why does it feel so much like last year's Kindle Fire? Why doesn't it feel like a step up? Because the experience itself has not evolved, and it's hard to look past its chief role as a portal for Amazon to sell you books, movies, apps and games.?

In other words, once you've spent $199, it's time to start spending money.

Physically, the HD is a hair thinner than its predecessor?but strangely larger ? wider all around, making it prettier, but?harder to grip with one hand. There are no physical buttons on the face, but now there are, flush with one edge, a power button and a volume toggle. These buttons are so subtle, they are sometimes hard to locate, but at least it's better than the first Kindle Fire, which turned on and off by accident all the time on account of its pronounced power button, located on the bottom center of the device.

I get why Amazon stashed the buttons: The company's vision has always been to remove any barrier between you and the book or movie or app. That means that, ideally, all you see is a screen.?And that?screen is definitely where Amazon put its money this time around.

The reading experience on the new Kindle Fire HD is far better than on the original. The pixels are tighter, making for a near-"Retina" display, where you can't see the dots. If you, like me, read on a tablet at night (ideally with white text on a black background), you will appreciate the HD's ability to turn the dimmer way down low, so that your eyes feel less strain in the dark. And the screen's contrast is higher while glare is reduced. You're not going to love it in the bright light of a summer day, but in most situations, words are easier to enjoy.

Pictures, too. The original Fire didn't have a photo viewer at all, and the one created for the Fire HD is a delight to use. A single finger tap brings up a photo, you can double-tap or pinch to zoom, then a quick two-fingered tap sends it back. It's good user interface, and it serves to highlight the fact that photos look good on the HD screen.

They look good once they've loaded, that is.?Unless you download photos to your device, the app browses your cloud-stored shots, pulling from Amazon's Cloud Drive and Facebook. You can't even shoot photos with the built-in camera?? that's just for video chatting on Skype, at least until third-party apps,?such as a forthcoming Facebook snapshot program, will make use of it.

You'd think with "HD" in its name, the new Fire would be a huge step-up for movie enjoyment, but the original Fire already?did okay in that department. The jump up in screen resolution is more noticeable with stills and text than moving video, especially on that small a screen.

That isn't to say watching movies isn't more fun on the Fire HD ? a new feature called X-Ray (powered by my favorite trivia source, the Amazon-owned IMDB), lets you pull up movie information and photos as you're watching.?

Amazon has also partnered with Dolby to up the quality of the stereo speakers and make them louder. The first ? also a stereo pair ? weren't that bad, though,?and there's still a tinny experience compared to a decent set of earphones. (And wouldn't you likely want to use earphones as often as possible anyway?)

Email is another app that Amazon's software developers have clearly been putting effort into, beyond the photo app and the X-Ray movie trivia. The old email program?was dark and stiff, the new one is brighter, more agile to the touch and intuitive. Also, it supports more complicated email accounts, such as those that sync to corporate Exchange servers.

Looking at all of the Fire HD's software, though, I don't get a sense of the design language, like I do on Microsoft's Windows 8 and Windows Phone products. Nor can I tell exactly how ambitious Amazon is about breeding first-party software, like Apple does. Yes, there's email and calendar, but when I went to jot down some notes, I couldn't find a way to do it. Even the included (but third-party) OfficeSuite app proved no use, despite its name.

Maybe a 7-inch tablet isn't really for doing stuff, it's just for consuming media. An honest notion.?But what happens when the 8.9-inch Kindle Fire HD comes out? More physically resembling an iPad, it will have a harder time justifying its lack of activity.

You can't take a picture, you can't write notes. You can email pictures but you can't edit them with the native photo app. Maybe Amazon's goal is to send you out to the Appstore to fill in these gaps for yourself (and pay for the right to do so). But that's not how it tends to work: Google and Apple foster app innovation in part by building their own apps, and continuing to raise the bar.?

Like with?the previous Kindle Fire, another big issue is that most of the media applications require connectivity. Yes, books live in local storage while you're reading them, and you can download music or photos for use later, but much of that is premeditated. Purchase a video, and you have the right to download it, but if you are merely Amazon's loyalest customer, and a $70-per-year?paying member of the?Amazon?Prime service, you have to establish a Wi-Fi connection to enjoy the bounty of amazing TV shows ("Downton Abbey"! "The West Wing"!?"The French Chef with Julia Child"!) and movies ("Thor"! "True Grit"!?"Hot Rod"!).

So let's get back to the original premise, that while the Kindle Fire has certainly received a tune-up, it's geared more than ever to serve as a means to part you from your money. Wake up the device, and the first thing you see is an ad, for a movie or some Amazon special offer. Slide the wrong slider, and you accidentally "learn more" about said product, instead of getting to your own?stuff. Once you're on the home screen, you'll notice a one-line text ad at the bottom of the screen.?

Even Amazon recognizes that this could come off as a bit crass to some customers, and is offering a $15 reprieve. (You'll find the option under "Manage Your Kindle," once you've registered a Fire HD.)

But there's another new promotional vehicle that will not go away, even after you've paid the $15 bounty. In the home screen, when you turn the device from horizontal view to vertical view, you instantly see what "Customers Also Bought." It's a list of Amazon-sold media that changes depending on what you are looking at in the main carousel. This "feature" replaced the Favorites bookshelf, which had been filled with your content. Favorites is now easily accessible from any screen, by tapping a star icon at the bottom right corner, but it's clear Amazon didn't mind sneaking a little bonus advertising onto the home screen as part of the redesign.

Look, fundamentally, this is also the premise of the iPad. From iTunes to the App Store, from iBooks to the Newsstand, Apple wants to sell and sell, and claim a healthy cut from those who want to reach you as a customer. It's just that the out-of-box experience for the iPad is less up front about it. There's more to explore, more to play with. People who don't have iTunes accounts ? including my mom and my sister, in fact ? still manage to enjoy their iPhones and iPads to a great extent.

The Kindle Fire HD just goes a little too far. This is perilous, especially at a time when consumer options are so plentiful.

If you, like me, enjoy Amazon's e-books, then you probably already know that you can download apps to get at them on iPhones, iPads, Android devices and even Windows Phones. That's why I prefer Amazon over Apple when it comes to books: Amazon's are just available in more places.?

Amazon is bringing video to more platforms too ? most notably with the recent introduction of an iPad app for streaming video, which gives you access to stuff you bought and also Prime subscription?video that you can stream at no extra cost.

So why choose a Kindle Fire HD over an iPad? Price. It's $199.?

But what if ? and I'm just spitballing here ? what if Apple puts out an 8-inch iPad for $249? Then you'd get basically the same content ? and a whole lot more ? on a slightly larger screen, for $50 more. (And you'd be able to try it out in an Apple store before you bought it.)?

If the rumors are true and Apple really does come out with a mini iPad in October, that $199 price point that we went absolutely bonkers over a year ago will look, well, a tad high.

You could buy an original but slightly tweaked Kindle Fire for $159, but what I think you really should do is buy a Kindle Paperwhite e-reader for $119. That thing is a fine example of innovation in the face of commoditization ? a product that stands out from the herd of lookalikes without costing any?more. My Paperwhite review will hit closer to its Oct. 1 launch, but I can tell you right now, from what I've seen already, it's?fine to pre-order it.

But if you have any money left over, do yourself a favor and keep saving up for an iPad. The 7-inch?Kindle Fire HD is nice, but it's just one of the paths to a rich Amazon customer experience, and it's?not the best one.

Wilson Rothman is the Technology & Science?editor at NBC News Digital. Catch up with him on Twitter at @wjrothman, and join our conversation on Facebook.

Source: http://www.nbcnews.com/technology/gadgetbox/kindle-fire-hd-review-improved-not-evolved-993484

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Posted on | September 11, 2012 | Comments Off

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